M Charizard-EXEvolutions · #13/108 · Rare Holo EX · 2016
The Hoshino Verdict
What this card’s market is actually doing — scored, stated and kept current.
Hoshino recorded 657 confirmed sales of this card in the last 12 months across 4 venues in North America and Europe. The market price is down 47% over the year, down 15% over 90 days and down 3% over 30 days. PSA has graded 24,614 copies of it, 10,178 of them Gem Mint 10 — a 41.4% gem rate (CGC 2,622, BGS 659 further). The most recent sale we hold is 3 days old.
Why is it expensive? It prices in the top 7% of the catalogue because it is a rare holo ex from Evolutions (2016).
Verdict recomputed 10m ago · it changes as the market does.
M Charizard-EX is card 13 of 108 in Evolutions, released in 2016 as part of the XY series. It is a Rare Holo EX card, illustrated by 5ban Graphics.
PSA reports 24,614 graded copies, 10,178 of them Gem Mint 10 (CGC 2,622, BGS 659 further). We hold 382 confirmed sales on record for this card across 3 venues in 2 regions — every price on this page traces back to them.
Descriptive market data, not investment advice. The Hoshino Score measures how deep, liquid, widely-traded, dear and scarce this card’s market is from sales and population records we hold. It is not a forecast, not a recommendation, and not a rating of this card as an investment.
Price by grade
What each grade’s real sales say — median of what actually sold.
Each grade is priced on the median of its own real sales — never averaged across grades, and never across printings. A 1st Edition, Shadowless or No Rarity copy is a different market from the ordinary print, so it gets its own row; where a grade holds sales of more than one printing and we cannot tell which copy sold, it is shown without a price — we abstain rather than publish the blend.
| Tier | Price | Confidence | Liquidity | Basis | Obs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw (ungraded) | $32.99 | High4 of 5 confidence checks passed | 4 in 90d | 8 sales · last 22d ago | 8 |
| BGS 9 | — | — | none in 90d | 1 sale · single sale · pop 274 | 1 |
| BGS 10 | — | — | 1 in 90d | 1 sale · single sale | 1 |
| CGC 8.5 | — | — | none in 90d | 1 sale · single sale | 1 |
| CGC 9 | — | — | 1 in 90d | 3 sales · $19.20–$85 · mixed? · pop 1482 | 3 |
| CGC 10 | $179 | Thin2 of 5 confidence checks passed | none in 90d | 2 sales · last 4mo ago · pop 528 | 2 |
| PSA 2 | — | — | none in 90d | 1 sale · single sale · pop 24 | 1 |
| PSA 3 | $36.25 | Thin1 of 5 confidence checks passed | none in 90d | 2 sales · last 4mo ago · pop 55 | 2 |
| PSA 4 | — | — | none in 90d | 1 sale · single sale · pop 116 | 1 |
| PSA 5 | $37.75 | Thin1 of 5 confidence checks passed | 1 in 90d | 2 sales · last 2mo ago · pop 358 | 2 |
| PSA 8 | $49.99 | High4 of 5 confidence checks passed | 15 in 90d | 79 sales · last 12d ago · ceiling $110 · 2 sales, unconfirmed · pop 2838 | 79 |
| PSA 9 | $70 | Highest5 of 5 confidence checks passed | 0.7/day | 255 sales · last 3d ago · ceiling $161 · 5 sales, unconfirmed · pop 8857 | 255 |
| PSA 10 | $225 | Highest5 of 5 confidence checks passed | 1/day | 358 sales · last 3d ago · ceiling $1,700 · 18 sales, unconfirmed · pop 10178 | 358 |
| SGC 10 | $150 | Thin2 of 5 confidence checks passed | none in 90d | 2 sales · last 4mo ago · pop 60 | 2 |
How confident are we in each of these prices?
There is no weighting and no hidden formula here. We ask five plain questions about the sales behind a price, and the rating is simply how many of them we can answer yes to. Every threshold is the one our pricing engine already uses to decide whether it trusts its own answer — none was invented for this rating. A grade we publish no price for gets no rating either: there would be nothing to rate.
- ✓Enough sales to have a middle — 8 confirmed sales at this exact grade
- ✓Those sales agree with each other — The middle half of them spread 49% around the median
- ✓The market traded it recently — Most recent sale 22 days ago
- ✗More than one marketplace — Every sale came from the same marketplace, so this is one venue’s price rather than the market’s
- ✓Dated by the venue, not by us — Every sale carries a date its venue published
- ✗Enough sales to have a middle — 2 confirmed sales at this exact grade — under the 5 our pricing engine treats as a settled sample
- ✓Those sales agree with each other — The middle half of them spread 20% around the median
- ✗The market traded it recently — Most recent sale 133 days ago — past the 45-day half-life at which our engine already halves a sale’s weight
- ✗More than one marketplace — Every sale came from the same marketplace, so this is one venue’s price rather than the market’s
- ✓Dated by the venue, not by us — Every sale carries a date its venue published
- ✗Enough sales to have a middle — 2 confirmed sales at this exact grade — under the 5 our pricing engine treats as a settled sample
- ✗Those sales agree with each other — The middle half of them spread 52% around the median — wide enough that the median is close to a coin toss
- ✗The market traded it recently — Most recent sale 112 days ago — past the 45-day half-life at which our engine already halves a sale’s weight
- ✗More than one marketplace — Every sale came from the same marketplace, so this is one venue’s price rather than the market’s
- ✓Dated by the venue, not by us — Every sale carries a date its venue published
- ✗Enough sales to have a middle — 2 confirmed sales at this exact grade — under the 5 our pricing engine treats as a settled sample
- ✗Those sales agree with each other — The middle half of them spread 59% around the median — wide enough that the median is close to a coin toss
- ✗The market traded it recently — Most recent sale 61 days ago — past the 45-day half-life at which our engine already halves a sale’s weight
- ✗More than one marketplace — Every sale came from the same marketplace, so this is one venue’s price rather than the market’s
- ✓Dated by the venue, not by us — Every sale carries a date its venue published
- ✓Enough sales to have a middle — 79 confirmed sales at this exact grade
- ✓Those sales agree with each other — The middle half of them spread 37% around the median
- ✓The market traded it recently — Most recent sale 12 days ago
- ✗More than one marketplace — Every sale came from the same marketplace, so this is one venue’s price rather than the market’s
- ✓Dated by the venue, not by us — Every sale carries a date its venue published
- ✓Enough sales to have a middle — 254 confirmed sales at this exact grade
- ✓Those sales agree with each other — The middle half of them spread 26% around the median
- ✓The market traded it recently — Most recent sale 3 days ago
- ✓More than one marketplace — Sales came from 3 different marketplaces
- ✓Dated by the venue, not by us — Every sale carries a date its venue published
- ✓Enough sales to have a middle — 353 confirmed sales at this exact grade
- ✓Those sales agree with each other — The middle half of them spread 20% around the median
- ✓The market traded it recently — Most recent sale 3 days ago
- ✓More than one marketplace — Sales came from 2 different marketplaces
- ✓Dated by the venue, not by us — Every sale carries a date its venue published
- ✗Enough sales to have a middle — 2 confirmed sales at this exact grade — under the 5 our pricing engine treats as a settled sample
- ✓Those sales agree with each other — The middle half of them spread 0% around the median
- ✗The market traded it recently — Most recent sale 122 days ago — past the 45-day half-life at which our engine already halves a sale’s weight
- ✗More than one marketplace — Every sale came from the same marketplace, so this is one venue’s price rather than the market’s
- ✓Dated by the venue, not by us — Every sale carries a date its venue published
Cross-market comparisons and arbitrage routes are computed within one grade — PSA 10 against PSA 10, raw against raw. A route is never built from two different grades.
The same card in a different holder
What the market pays for this card at the same grade in each grader’s slab — and, if you hold one, what cracking it would have to return to be worth the fee.
Each grader’s price below is the median of that grader’s own recorded sales of this card at this exact grade. Nothing is averaged across graders and nothing is interpolated from a neighbouring grade. Every price here is the same figure the price-by-grade table above publishes — a rung that table abstains on is abstained on here too, and every fee, freight and tax figure is a real published rate from our cost model.
SGC 10 vs PSA 10
CGC 10 vs PSA 10
BGS 10 vs PSA 10
Price trend
Median market price over time, plus the sale-by-sale receipts.
Each point is a real recorded sale at that grade, over the full time we hold. Grades trade at very different prices, so the trend is per grade — pick a grade above.
Daily snapshot medians · US market · raw bucket. — the broader raw market-price trend across the same period, alongside the graded sales above.
PSA 10 population has grown from 10,114 on 2026-08-27 to 10,178 on 2026-09-20 (+64) — real grading-population readings, not a price.
Recent sales
| Sold | Venue | Region | Grade | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 3d ago | 🇺🇸 eBay (US) via PokéPriceTracker | North America | PSA 10 | $211 | auction view ↗ |
| 2026-09-17 3d ago | 🇺🇸 eBay (US) via PokéPriceTracker | North America | PSA 10 | $225 | auction view ↗ |
| 2026-09-17 3d ago | 🇺🇸 eBay (US) via PokéPriceTracker | North America | PSA 9 | $49.99 | auction view ↗ |
| 2026-09-16 4d ago | 🇺🇸 eBay (US) via PokéPriceTracker | North America | PSA 10 | $220 | auction view ↗ |
The 4 most recent — confirmed sales first, then estimates; distinct price points, identical re-ingested rows count once, never stacked. The full 395-point sale-by-sale history unlocks with Pro. Venue is the marketplace the sale actually cleared on — eBay, Goldin, ALT, Fanatics, SNKRDUNK and the rest — established from the sale’s own listing URL, its auction house, or the feed’s own declaration of the venue. A via tag names the data feed that delivered the record; the feed is never the venue. Where none of those establish a marketplace the row says venue not disclosed rather than naming one we cannot prove. Rows tagged guide are marketplace price-guide points (TCGplayer market / Cardmarket trend), not confirmed sales; rows tagged est. are inferred from a listing that left the market, not directly-recorded sales. Rows tagged recorded come from a venue that publishes no sale date — Mercari Japan publishes none — so the date shown is the day we recorded the sale, an upper bound on when it sold. The price is real either way; we do not invent a date.
We hold 65 sales of this card that are not allowed to price anything. Every figure on this page was computed with them removed. See what we set aside for this card, and why →
See the 30-day, 90-day and 1-year charts and every past sale on record — date, venue, region, grade and the price it actually fetched.
Buy from around the world
The lowest live ask on every platform we track — cheapest first.
The cheapest live ask in every region we track — real global pricing, not just the US.
See every listing we track and the net spread — cheapest ask first, the difference after ~13% marketplace + payment fees.
Asks are what sellers want; the price above is what the market actually clears at. Pro shows both sides plus the spread net of fees.
Sold around the world
Daily market prices by region and platform — what this card actually changes hands for worldwide, kept apart from seller asks.
| Platform | Sales | Median | Low – High | Last sold |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🌐 PokéPriceTracker | 8 | $30.99 | $7 – $60 | $43 22d ago |
Daily market prices across 1 platform in North America — counts are distinct sales, never duplicated listings. Guide rows (TCGplayer market / Cardmarket trend) are labelled as estimates, not sales.
Population reports
How many graded copies exist, and how fast that number is moving — scarcity in plain numbers.
PSA 24,614 graded copies
| Grade | Population |
|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 10,178 |
| PSA 9 | 8,857 |
| PSA 8 | 2,838 |
| PSA 7 | 998 |
| PSA 6 | 1,102 |
| PSA 5 | 358 |
| PSA 4 | 116 |
| PSA 3 | 55 |
| PSA 2 | 24 |
| PSA 1 | 88 |
CGC 2,622 graded copies
| Grade | Population |
|---|---|
| CGC 10 | 528 |
| CGC 9.5 | 62 |
| CGC 9 | 1,482 |
| CGC 8 | 417 |
| CGC 7 | 65 |
| CGC 6 | 34 |
| CGC 5 | 19 |
| CGC 4 | 8 |
| CGC 3 | 4 |
| CGC 2 | 1 |
| CGC 1 | 2 |
BGS 659 graded copies
| Grade | Population |
|---|---|
| BGS 9.5 | 323 |
| BGS 9 | 274 |
| BGS 8 | 39 |
| BGS 7 | 14 |
| BGS 6 | 4 |
| BGS 5 | 2 |
| BGS 3 | 3 |
BGS BL 6 graded copies
| Grade | Population |
|---|---|
| BGS BL 10 | 6 |
SGC 169 graded copies
| Grade | Population |
|---|---|
| SGC 10 | 60 |
| SGC 9.5 | 56 |
| SGC 9 | 37 |
| SGC 8 | 10 |
| SGC 7 | 2 |
| SGC 5 | 1 |
| SGC 4 | 2 |
| SGC 2 | 1 |
Population over time — 193 new copies slabbed across 5 tiers in this window
| Tier | Trend | 2026-08-27 | 2026-09-20 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 10,114 | 10,178 | +64 (0.6%) | |
| PSA 9 | 8,784 | 8,857 | +73 (0.8%) | |
| PSA 8 | 2,806 | 2,838 | +32 (1.1%) | |
| CGC 9 | 1,482 | 1,482 | no change | |
| PSA 6 | 1,092 | 1,102 | +10 (0.9%) | |
| PSA 7 | 984 | 998 | +14 (1.4%) | |
| CGC 10 | 528 | 528 | no change | |
| CGC 8 | 417 | 417 | no change |
Every point is a real population reading taken on the date shown — first reading 2026-08-27, latest 2026-09-20 (24 days). That is the whole window we hold for this card; it is not a one-year trend and we will not present it as one. A population can only grow — a card cannot be un-graded — so where a reading came back lower than the one before it, that is a partial crawl and the series carries the higher figure forward rather than drawing a fall that never happened.
Why this matters: scarcity is a flow, not a constant. A tier whose count is climbing is getting less scarce while its price chart says nothing at all — and a tier that has not moved in weeks is holding its scarcity. Nobody else publishes this per grade.
What grading this card would actually cost you
Every term in the sum, sourced — the slab’s real sale price, the marketplace’s published fee, the grader’s published rate.
Every graded row is that same sale, minus the same marketplace fee, minus the grader’s published fee, minus $12 of shipping both ways. The “vs raw” column is the only number that matters: what that outcome would leave you with over selling the card as it is now.
PSA · cheapest published service tier whose declared-value cap covers each outcome
| If it grades | Sells for | eBay fee | Grading | You net | vs raw | Of existing slabs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 · 358 sales | $225 | −$30 | −$80PSA Regular · 35d | $103 | +$67 | 41% |
| PSA 9 · 255 sales | $70 | −$9.67 | −$80PSA Regular · 35d | −$32 | −$68 | 36% |
| PSA 8 · 79 sales | $50 | −$7.02 | −$80PSA Regular · 35d | −$49 | −$85 | 12% |
“Of existing slabs” is how PSA’s 24,614 graded copies of this card actually landed. It is the base rate for the population, not the odds for your copy — the copies people submit are not a random sample, and we have never seen the card in your hand.
CGC · cheapest published service tier whose declared-value cap covers each outcome
| If it grades | Sells for | eBay fee | Grading | You net | vs raw | Of existing slabs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CGC 10 · 2 sales | $179 | −$24 | −$17CGC Economy · 90d | $126 | +$90 | 20% |
“Of existing slabs” is how CGC’s 2,622 graded copies of this card actually landed. It is the base rate for the population, not the odds for your copy — the copies people submit are not a random sample, and we have never seen the card in your hand.
SGC · cheapest published service tier whose declared-value cap covers each outcome
| If it grades | Sells for | eBay fee | Grading | You net | vs raw | Of existing slabs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SGC 10 · 2 sales | $150 | −$20 | −$30SGC (vintage) · 20d | $87 | +$51 | 36% |
“Of existing slabs” is how SGC’s 169 graded copies of this card actually landed. It is the base rate for the population, not the odds for your copy — the copies people submit are not a random sample, and we have never seen the card in your hand.
What this cannot tell you. Which grade your copy would get. That depends on centring, edges, surface and corners on the card in your hand, and we have never seen it — so there is no single headline number here and no “worth it / not worth it” verdict. Each row is one outcome, priced from that tier’s own real sales; a tier we publish no price for stays blank rather than borrowing a figure from the grade next to it. Turnaround is the grader’s published business-day estimate, and the market can move inside it. Descriptive market arithmetic, not investment advice.
Should you grade it?
Expected grade × daily market prices − grading fees = net value, per grader.
See the full grader ladder — chance of a 10, what a 10 and a 9 actually fetch, and the fee, expected value and ROI on every route.
Should you grade it? Every grader route, your cost basis, and Japan vs the West → · or scan a photo of your copy
Who is looking at this card
Demand and supply signals that move before price does.
This is where the attention layer goes: how much YouTube activity this card is getting (demand) against how many copies are listed for sale right now (supply). Rising demand into falling supply is the setup that moves before the price does — the leading indicator this category does not have.
We hold no readings for this card, so there is no number here. The model is built (src/attention); the collector has not run against this database yet, and until it has, an attention score would be something we made up. A blank panel that says so is the honest version of this section.
Long-term outlook
Transparent scenario model from real solds, supply and demand — bands widen with time.
See where this card is projected to be in 10 years — scenario bands, every horizon, and the long-term verdict.
Scenario projection based on demand/supply trends and known catalysts. Not investment advice and not a guarantee of future prices.
What M Charizard-EX actually does
The printed card — its attacks, what they cost, what it is weak to, and whether it is still tournament legal.
This Pokémon does 50 damage to itself.
Card text, attacks and format legality come from the open card catalogue TCGdex. They describe the card as printed; nothing here is a price, an estimate or anything Hoshino computed. A field we hold no record for is left out rather than filled in.
More from Evolutions
Same set, same shelf.
Frequently asked questions
Answered from the data on this page — nothing here is written by hand.
How much is M Charizard-EX (Evolutions #13) worth?
M Charizard-EX (Evolutions #13) is worth $42.10 based on daily market prices (10 distinct sales) on Hoshino. Typical range: $25.38–$43.87 (raw/ungraded).
Where can I buy or sell M Charizard-EX (Evolutions #13)?
You can find M Charizard-EX (Evolutions #13) on Hoshino, with live listings on eBay (US), eBay AU and recent solds from PokéPriceTracker. Each listing links directly to the seller’s page.
What is the graded value of M Charizard-EX (Evolutions #13)?
Graded values for M Charizard-EX (Evolutions #13): CGC 10 — $179; PSA 3 — $36.25; PSA 5 — $37.75; PSA 8 — $49.99; PSA 9 — $70; PSA 10 — $225; SGC 10 — $150. Each tier is priced on its own sales — Hoshino never mixes a PSA 10 with a raw copy.
Is M Charizard-EX (Evolutions #13) going up or down in price?
M Charizard-EX (Evolutions #13) is trending down in price. 30-day change: -3%. 1-year change: -47%. Based on live market data tracked on Hoshino.
How many M Charizard-EX (Evolutions #13) have been graded?
Across PSA and CGC and BGS and BGS BL and SGC, 28,070 copies of M Charizard-EX (Evolutions #13) have been professionally graded, based on population reports tracked on Hoshino.
What is the PSA 10 population of M Charizard-EX (Evolutions #13)?
PSA has graded 10,178 copies of M Charizard-EX (Evolutions #13) as Gem Mint 10, according to population reports tracked on Hoshino.
What does M Charizard-EX (Evolutions #13) do?
M Charizard-EX (Evolutions #13) is a 220 HP Fire-type card (MEGA). Its attack is Crimson Dive (300 damage). It is weak to Water (×2). Illustrated by 5ban Graphics.
📛 Get the price badge
Embeddable price badges for M Charizard-EX — pick the look, copy, paste. Live global data no US-only rival can show.
Drop any of these into a listing, blog or forum signature. Each shows the live number with its honest basis — real market price with sale-count provenance, or a clearly labelled guide estimate — and updates as new sales land (cached 1 hour). Add ?theme=light for light backgrounds.
Track M Charizard-EX in your portfolio — free
Live value across every market we track, grade-EV on your exact copy, and alerts the second the price moves.