Melmetal exScarlet & Violet Black Star Promos · #104/215 · Promo · 2023
The Hoshino Verdict
What this card’s market is actually doing — scored, stated and kept current.
Hoshino recorded 4 confirmed sales of this card in the last 12 months. We hold enough sales to describe the market, but not a continuous price history long enough to measure a move against — so we do not report one. PSA has graded 25 copies of it, 1 of them Gem Mint 10 — a 4% gem rate (CGC 13 further). The most recent sale we hold is 21 days old.
Verdict recomputed 6m ago · it changes as the market does.
Melmetal ex is card 104 of 215 in Scarlet & Violet Black Star Promos, released in 2023 as part of the Scarlet & Violet series. It is a Promo card, illustrated by PLANETA Igarashi.
PSA reports 25 graded copies, 1 of them Gem Mint 10 (CGC 13 further). We hold 4 confirmed sales on record for this card across 3 venues — every price on this page traces back to them.
Descriptive market data, not investment advice. The Hoshino Score measures how deep, liquid, widely-traded, dear and scarce this card’s market is from sales and population records we hold. It is not a forecast, not a recommendation, and not a rating of this card as an investment.
Price by grade
What each grade’s real sales say — median of what actually sold.
Each grade is priced on the median of its own real sales — never averaged across grades, and never across printings. A 1st Edition, Shadowless or No Rarity copy is a different market from the ordinary print, so it gets its own row; where a grade holds sales of more than one printing and we cannot tell which copy sold, it is shown without a price — we abstain rather than publish the blend.
| Tier | Price | Confidence | Liquidity | Basis | Obs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw (ungraded) | $25 | — | 1 in 90d | 1 sale · last 21d ago | 1 |
| PSA 8 | — | — | — | no sales on record yet · pop 6 | |
| PSA 9 | — | — | none in 90d | 3 sales · $3.25–$15.40 · mixed? · pop 17 | 3 |
| PSA 10 | $30.36 | — | — | modeled est. est. from PSA 9 × 2 · pop 1 |
Cross-market comparisons and arbitrage routes are computed within one grade — PSA 10 against PSA 10, raw against raw. A route is never built from two different grades.
Price trend
Median market price over time, plus the sale-by-sale receipts.
Daily snapshot medians · US market · raw bucket.
Recent sales
| Sold | Venue | Region | Grade | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 21d ago | 🇺🇸 eBay (US) via PokéPriceTracker | North America | NM | $25 | view ↗ |
| 2026-06-09 3mo ago | 🇺🇸 eBay (US) via PokéPriceTracker | North America | PSA 9 | $15 | auction view ↗ |
| 2026-04-16 5mo ago | 🇺🇸 eBay (US) via PokéPriceTracker | North America | PSA 9 | $15.40 | auction view ↗ |
| 2026-03-29 5mo ago | 🇺🇸 eBay (US) via PokéPriceTracker | North America | PSA 9 | $3.25 | auction view ↗ |
The 4 most recent — confirmed sales first, then estimates; distinct price points, identical re-ingested rows count once, never stacked. The full 7-point sale-by-sale history unlocks with Pro. Venue is the marketplace the sale actually cleared on — eBay, Goldin, ALT, Fanatics, SNKRDUNK and the rest — established from the sale’s own listing URL, its auction house, or the feed’s own declaration of the venue. A via tag names the data feed that delivered the record; the feed is never the venue. Where none of those establish a marketplace the row says venue not disclosed rather than naming one we cannot prove. Rows tagged guide are marketplace price-guide points (TCGplayer market / Cardmarket trend), not confirmed sales; rows tagged est. are inferred from a listing that left the market, not directly-recorded sales. Rows tagged recorded come from a venue that publishes no sale date — Mercari Japan publishes none — so the date shown is the day we recorded the sale, an upper bound on when it sold. The price is real either way; we do not invent a date.
We hold 1 sale of this card that is not allowed to price anything. Every figure on this page was computed with it removed. See what we set aside for this card, and why →
See the 30-day, 90-day and 1-year charts and every past sale on record — date, venue, region, grade and the price it actually fetched.
Buy from around the world
The lowest live ask on every platform we track — cheapest first.
The cheapest live ask in every region we track — real global pricing, not just the US.
See every listing we track and the net spread — cheapest ask first, the difference after ~13% marketplace + payment fees.
Asks are what sellers want; the price above is what the market actually clears at. Pro shows both sides plus the spread net of fees.
Sold around the world
Daily market prices by region and platform — what this card actually changes hands for worldwide, kept apart from seller asks.
| Platform | Sales | Median | Low – High | Last sold |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🌐 PokéPriceTracker | 1 | $25 | $25 – $25 | $25 21d ago |
Daily market prices across 1 platform in North America — counts are distinct sales, never duplicated listings. Guide rows (TCGplayer market / Cardmarket trend) are labelled as estimates, not sales.
Population reports
How many graded copies exist, and how fast that number is moving — scarcity in plain numbers.
PSA 25 graded copies
| Grade | Population |
|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 1 |
| PSA 9 | 17 |
| PSA 8 | 6 |
| PSA 7 | 1 |
CGC 13 graded copies
| Grade | Population |
|---|---|
| CGC 10 | 4 |
| CGC 9.5 | 1 |
| CGC 9 | 6 |
| CGC 8 | 2 |
SGC 1 graded copy
| Grade | Population |
|---|---|
| SGC 9.5 | 1 |
Population over time — No new copies were slabbed in any tier we can read cleanly in this window
| Tier | Trend | 2026-08-30 | 2026-09-20 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 9 | 17 | 17 | no change | |
| PSA 8 | 6 | 6 | no change | |
| CGC 9 | 6 | 6 | no change | |
| CGC 10 | 4 | 4 | no change | |
| CGC 8 | 2 | 2 | no change | |
| PSA 7 | 1 | 1 | no change | |
| PSA 10 | 1 | 1 | no change | |
| CGC 9.5 | 1 | 1 | no change |
Every point is a real population reading taken on the date shown — first reading 2026-08-30, latest 2026-09-20 (21 days). That is the whole window we hold for this card; it is not a one-year trend and we will not present it as one. A population can only grow — a card cannot be un-graded — so where a reading came back lower than the one before it, that is a partial crawl and the series carries the higher figure forward rather than drawing a fall that never happened.
Why this matters: scarcity is a flow, not a constant. A tier whose count is climbing is getting less scarce while its price chart says nothing at all — and a tier that has not moved in weeks is holding its scarcity. Nobody else publishes this per grade.
Should you grade it?
Expected grade × daily market prices − grading fees = net value, per grader.
See the full grader ladder — chance of a 10, what a 10 and a 9 actually fetch, and the fee, expected value and ROI on every route.
Should you grade it? Every grader route, your cost basis, and Japan vs the West → · or scan a photo of your copy
Who is looking at this card
Demand and supply signals that move before price does.
This is where the attention layer goes: how much YouTube activity this card is getting (demand) against how many copies are listed for sale right now (supply). Rising demand into falling supply is the setup that moves before the price does — the leading indicator this category does not have.
We hold no readings for this card, so there is no number here. The model is built (src/attention); the collector has not run against this database yet, and until it has, an attention score would be something we made up. A blank panel that says so is the honest version of this section.
Long-term outlook
Transparent scenario model from real solds, supply and demand — bands widen with time.
See where this card is projected to be in 10 years — scenario bands, every horizon, and the long-term verdict.
Scenario projection based on demand/supply trends and known catalysts. Not investment advice and not a guarantee of future prices.
More from Scarlet & Violet Black Star Promos
Same set, same shelf.
Frequently asked questions
Answered from the data on this page — nothing here is written by hand.
How much is Melmetal ex (Scarlet & Violet Black Star Promos #104) worth?
Melmetal ex (Scarlet & Violet Black Star Promos #104) is worth $15.50 based on daily market prices (4 distinct sales) on Hoshino. Typical range: $1.97–$25 (raw/ungraded).
Where can I buy or sell Melmetal ex (Scarlet & Violet Black Star Promos #104)?
You can find Melmetal ex (Scarlet & Violet Black Star Promos #104) on Hoshino, with live listings on eBay (US) and recent solds from PokéPriceTracker. Each listing links directly to the seller’s page.
Is Melmetal ex (Scarlet & Violet Black Star Promos #104) going up or down in price?
Melmetal ex (Scarlet & Violet Black Star Promos #104) is trending up in price. 30-day change: +1297%. Based on live market data tracked on Hoshino.
How many Melmetal ex (Scarlet & Violet Black Star Promos #104) have been graded?
Across PSA and CGC and SGC, 39 copies of Melmetal ex (Scarlet & Violet Black Star Promos #104) have been professionally graded, based on population reports tracked on Hoshino.
What is the PSA 10 population of Melmetal ex (Scarlet & Violet Black Star Promos #104)?
PSA has graded 1 copy of Melmetal ex (Scarlet & Violet Black Star Promos #104) as Gem Mint 10, according to population reports tracked on Hoshino.
📛 Get the price badge
Embeddable price badges for Melmetal ex — pick the look, copy, paste. Live global data no US-only rival can show.
Drop any of these into a listing, blog or forum signature. Each shows the live number with its honest basis — real market price with sale-count provenance, or a clearly labelled guide estimate — and updates as new sales land (cached 1 hour). Add ?theme=light for light backgrounds.
Track Melmetal ex in your portfolio — free
Live value across every market we track, grade-EV on your exact copy, and alerts the second the price moves.