CharizardArceus · #1/99 · Rare Holo · 2009
The Hoshino Verdict
What this card’s market is actually doing — scored, stated and kept current.
Hoshino recorded 240 confirmed sales of this card in the last 12 months across 3 venues in North America and Europe. The market price is up 183% over the year, up 67% over 90 days and up 61% over 30 days. PSA has graded 2,281 copies of it, 51 of them Gem Mint 10 — a 2.2% gem rate (CGC 468, BGS 112 further). The most recent sale we hold is 2 days old.
Why is it expensive? It prices in the top 4% of the catalogue because only 51 copies have ever reached PSA 10 of the 2,281 PSA has graded, it is a rare holo from Arceus (2009) and the market has moved up 183% over the last year on 240 recorded sales.
Verdict recomputed 8m ago · it changes as the market does.
Charizard is card 1 of 99 in Arceus, released in 2009 as part of the Platinum series. It is a Rare Holo card, illustrated by Kagemaru Himeno.
PSA reports 2,281 graded copies, 51 of them Gem Mint 10 (CGC 468, BGS 112 further). We hold 261 confirmed sales on record for this card across 4 venues in 2 regions — every price on this page traces back to them.
Descriptive market data, not investment advice. The Hoshino Score measures how deep, liquid, widely-traded, dear and scarce this card’s market is from sales and population records we hold. It is not a forecast, not a recommendation, and not a rating of this card as an investment.
Price by grade
What each grade’s real sales say — median of what actually sold.
Each grade is priced on the median of its own real sales — never averaged across grades, and never across printings. A 1st Edition, Shadowless or No Rarity copy is a different market from the ordinary print, so it gets its own row; where a grade holds sales of more than one printing and we cannot tell which copy sold, it is shown without a price — we abstain rather than publish the blend.
| Tier | Price | Confidence | Liquidity | Basis | Obs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw (ungraded) | $75 | Highest5 of 5 confidence checks passed | 2 in 90d | 13 sales · last 2d ago | 13 |
| CGC 6 | — | — | none in 90d | 1 sale · single sale · pop 54 | 1 |
| CGC 7 | $79 | Thin3 of 5 confidence checks passed | 2 in 90d | 3 sales · last 1mo ago · pop 83 | 3 |
| CGC 8 | $97.50 | High4 of 5 confidence checks passed | 3 in 90d | 10 sales · last 14d ago · pop 204 | 10 |
| CGC 9 | $250 | High4 of 5 confidence checks passed | 5 in 90d | 12 sales · last 13d ago · pop 82 | 12 |
| CGC 10 | $999 | Thin2 of 5 confidence checks passed | none in 90d | 2 sales · last 7mo ago · pop 15 | 2 |
| PSA 2 | — | — | 1 in 90d | 2 sales · inverts ladder · pop 18 | 2 |
| PSA 6 | $82 | High4 of 5 confidence checks passed | 19 in 90d | 38 sales · last 2d ago · pop 296 | 38 |
| PSA 7 | $104 | Moderate3 of 5 confidence checks passed | 15 in 90d | 40 sales · last 3d ago · pop 455 | 40 |
| PSA 8 | $198 | High4 of 5 confidence checks passed | 28 in 90d | 87 sales · last 4d ago · pop 671 | 87 |
| PSA 9 | $400 | High4 of 5 confidence checks passed | 7 in 90d | 45 sales · last 28d ago · ceiling $1,200 · 4 sales, unconfirmed · pop 555 | 45 |
| PSA 10 | $10,000 | Moderate3 of 5 confidence checks passed | 1 in 90d | 8 sales · last 2mo ago · ceiling $25,000 · 1 sale, unconfirmed · pop 51 | 8 |
| SGC 3 | — | — | none in 90d | 1 sale · single sale | 1 |
| SGC 6 | — | — | 1 in 90d | 1 sale · single sale · pop 4 | 1 |
| SGC 9 | — | — | none in 90d | 1 sale · single sale · pop 5 | 1 |
How confident are we in each of these prices?
There is no weighting and no hidden formula here. We ask five plain questions about the sales behind a price, and the rating is simply how many of them we can answer yes to. Every threshold is the one our pricing engine already uses to decide whether it trusts its own answer — none was invented for this rating. A grade we publish no price for gets no rating either: there would be nothing to rate.
- ✓Enough sales to have a middle — 12 confirmed sales at this exact grade (the observation count beside this rung also includes 1 row reconstructed from a listing’s own lifecycle rather than a confirmed sale — those never count toward this check)
- ✓Those sales agree with each other — The middle half of them spread 23% around the median
- ✓The market traded it recently — Most recent sale 2 days ago
- ✓More than one marketplace — Sales came from 2 different marketplaces
- ✓Dated by the venue, not by us — Every sale carries a date its venue published
- ✗Enough sales to have a middle — 3 confirmed sales at this exact grade — under the 5 our pricing engine treats as a settled sample
- ✓Those sales agree with each other — The middle half of them spread 25% around the median
- ✓The market traded it recently — Most recent sale 36 days ago
- ✗More than one marketplace — Every sale came from the same marketplace, so this is one venue’s price rather than the market’s
- ✓Dated by the venue, not by us — Every sale carries a date its venue published
- ✓Enough sales to have a middle — 10 confirmed sales at this exact grade
- ✓Those sales agree with each other — The middle half of them spread 45% around the median
- ✓The market traded it recently — Most recent sale 14 days ago
- ✗More than one marketplace — Every sale came from the same marketplace, so this is one venue’s price rather than the market’s
- ✓Dated by the venue, not by us — Every sale carries a date its venue published
- ✓Enough sales to have a middle — 11 confirmed sales at this exact grade
- ✓Those sales agree with each other — The middle half of them spread 10% around the median
- ✓The market traded it recently — Most recent sale 13 days ago
- ✗More than one marketplace — Every sale came from the same marketplace, so this is one venue’s price rather than the market’s
- ✓Dated by the venue, not by us — Every sale carries a date its venue published
- ✗Enough sales to have a middle — 2 confirmed sales at this exact grade — under the 5 our pricing engine treats as a settled sample
- ✓Those sales agree with each other — The middle half of them spread 0% around the median
- ✗The market traded it recently — Most recent sale 214 days ago — past the 45-day half-life at which our engine already halves a sale’s weight
- ✗More than one marketplace — Every sale came from the same marketplace, so this is one venue’s price rather than the market’s
- ✓Dated by the venue, not by us — Every sale carries a date its venue published
- ✓Enough sales to have a middle — 38 confirmed sales at this exact grade
- ✓Those sales agree with each other — The middle half of them spread 32% around the median
- ✓The market traded it recently — Most recent sale 2 days ago
- ✗More than one marketplace — Every sale came from the same marketplace, so this is one venue’s price rather than the market’s
- ✓Dated by the venue, not by us — Every sale carries a date its venue published
- ✓Enough sales to have a middle — 40 confirmed sales at this exact grade
- ✗Those sales agree with each other — The middle half of them spread 63% around the median — wide enough that the median is close to a coin toss
- ✓The market traded it recently — Most recent sale 3 days ago
- ✗More than one marketplace — Every sale came from the same marketplace, so this is one venue’s price rather than the market’s
- ✓Dated by the venue, not by us — Every sale carries a date its venue published
- ✓Enough sales to have a middle — 86 confirmed sales at this exact grade
- ✗Those sales agree with each other — The middle half of them spread 100% around the median — wide enough that the median is close to a coin toss
- ✓The market traded it recently — Most recent sale 4 days ago
- ✓More than one marketplace — Sales came from 3 different marketplaces
- ✓Dated by the venue, not by us — Every sale carries a date its venue published
- ✓Enough sales to have a middle — 45 confirmed sales at this exact grade
- ✗Those sales agree with each other — The middle half of them spread 67% around the median — wide enough that the median is close to a coin toss
- ✓The market traded it recently — Most recent sale 28 days ago
- ✓More than one marketplace — Sales came from 2 different marketplaces
- ✓Dated by the venue, not by us — Every sale carries a date its venue published
- ✓Enough sales to have a middle — 7 confirmed sales at this exact grade
- ✓Those sales agree with each other — The middle half of them spread 37% around the median
- ✗The market traded it recently — Most recent sale 73 days ago — past the 45-day half-life at which our engine already halves a sale’s weight
- ✗More than one marketplace — Every sale came from the same marketplace, so this is one venue’s price rather than the market’s
- ✓Dated by the venue, not by us — Every sale carries a date its venue published
Cross-market comparisons and arbitrage routes are computed within one grade — PSA 10 against PSA 10, raw against raw. A route is never built from two different grades.
The same card in a different holder
What the market pays for this card at the same grade in each grader’s slab — and, if you hold one, what cracking it would have to return to be worth the fee.
Each grader’s price below is the median of that grader’s own recorded sales of this card at this exact grade. Nothing is averaged across graders and nothing is interpolated from a neighbouring grade. Every price here is the same figure the price-by-grade table above publishes — a rung that table abstains on is abstained on here too, and every fee, freight and tax figure is a real published rate from our cost model.
CGC 8 vs PSA 8
CGC 9 vs PSA 9
SGC 9 vs PSA 9
Price trend
Median market price over time, plus the sale-by-sale receipts.
Each point is a real recorded sale at that grade, over the full time we hold. Grades trade at very different prices, so the trend is per grade — pick a grade above.
Daily snapshot medians · US market · raw bucket. — the broader raw market-price trend across the same period, alongside the graded sales above.
PSA 8 population has grown from 668 on 2026-08-27 to 673 on 2026-09-19 (+5) — real grading-population readings, not a price.
Recent sales
| Sold | Venue | Region | Grade | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 2d ago | 🇺🇸 eBay (US) via PokéPriceTracker | North America | PSA 6 | $105 | auction view ↗ |
| 2026-09-17 2d ago | 🇸🇪 Tradera | Europe | NM | 249 SEK · $25.46 | view ↗ |
| 2026-09-17 3d ago | 🇺🇸 eBay (US) via PokéPriceTracker | North America | PSA 7 | $104 | auction view ↗ |
| 2026-09-16 4d ago | 🇺🇸 eBay (US) via PokéPriceTracker | North America | PSA 8 | $300 | auction view ↗ |
The 4 most recent — confirmed sales first, then estimates; distinct price points, identical re-ingested rows count once, never stacked. The full 280-point sale-by-sale history unlocks with Pro. Venue is the marketplace the sale actually cleared on — eBay, Goldin, ALT, Fanatics, SNKRDUNK and the rest — established from the sale’s own listing URL, its auction house, or the feed’s own declaration of the venue. A via tag names the data feed that delivered the record; the feed is never the venue. Where none of those establish a marketplace the row says venue not disclosed rather than naming one we cannot prove. Rows tagged guide are marketplace price-guide points (TCGplayer market / Cardmarket trend), not confirmed sales; rows tagged est. are inferred from a listing that left the market, not directly-recorded sales. Rows tagged recorded come from a venue that publishes no sale date — Mercari Japan publishes none — so the date shown is the day we recorded the sale, an upper bound on when it sold. The price is real either way; we do not invent a date.
We hold 54 sales of this card that are not allowed to price anything. Every figure on this page was computed with them removed. See what we set aside for this card, and why →
See the 30-day, 90-day and 1-year charts and every past sale on record — date, venue, region, grade and the price it actually fetched.
Buy from around the world
The lowest live ask on every platform we track — cheapest first.
The cheapest live ask in every region we track — real global pricing, not just the US.
See every listing we track and the net spread — cheapest ask first, the difference after ~13% marketplace + payment fees.
Asks are what sellers want; the price above is what the market actually clears at. Pro shows both sides plus the spread net of fees.
Sold around the world
Daily market prices by region and platform — what this card actually changes hands for worldwide, kept apart from seller asks.
Markets are too thin or divergent to quote a reliable cross-border spread on this card yet.
| Platform | Sales | Median | Low – High | Last sold |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🌐 PokéPriceTracker | 11 | $78 | $59.99 – $150 | $75 2mo ago |
| 🇸🇪 Tradera | 1 | $25.46 | $25.46 – $25.46 | 249 SEK · $25.46 2d ago |
Daily market prices across 2 platforms in North America, Europe — counts are distinct sales, never duplicated listings. Guide rows (TCGplayer market / Cardmarket trend) are labelled as estimates, not sales.
Population reports
How many graded copies exist, and how fast that number is moving — scarcity in plain numbers.
PSA 2,281 graded copies
| Grade | Population |
|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 51 |
| PSA 9 | 555 |
| PSA 8 | 671 |
| PSA 7 | 455 |
| PSA 6 | 296 |
| PSA 5 | 129 |
| PSA 4 | 53 |
| PSA 3 | 20 |
| PSA 2 | 18 |
| PSA 1 | 33 |
CGC 468 graded copies
| Grade | Population |
|---|---|
| CGC 10 | 15 |
| CGC 9.5 | 11 |
| CGC 9 | 82 |
| CGC 8 | 204 |
| CGC 7 | 83 |
| CGC 6 | 54 |
| CGC 5 | 11 |
| CGC 4 | 4 |
| CGC 3 | 2 |
| CGC 2 | 1 |
| CGC 1 | 1 |
BGS 112 graded copies
| Grade | Population |
|---|---|
| BGS 9.5 | 5 |
| BGS 9 | 32 |
| BGS 8.5 | 32 |
| BGS 8 | 13 |
| BGS 7.5 | 11 |
| BGS 7 | 7 |
| BGS 6.5 | 4 |
| BGS 6 | 1 |
| BGS 5 | 2 |
| BGS 4.5 | 2 |
| BGS 4 | 1 |
| BGS 3 | 2 |
SGC 23 graded copies
| Grade | Population |
|---|---|
| SGC 9 | 5 |
| SGC 8 | 6 |
| SGC 7 | 5 |
| SGC 6 | 4 |
| SGC 5 | 1 |
| SGC 4 | 2 |
Population over time — 29 new copies slabbed across 6 tiers in this window
| Tier | Trend | 2026-08-27 | 2026-09-20 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 8 | 668 | 673 | +5 (0.7%) | |
| PSA 9 | 554 | 556 | +2 (0.4%) | |
| PSA 7 | 446 | 455 | +9 (2.0%) | |
| PSA 6 | 288 | 296 | +8 (2.8%) | |
| CGC 8 | 203 | 204 | +1 (0.5%) | |
| PSA 5 | 125 | 129 | +4 (3.2%) | |
| CGC 9 | 92 | 92 | no change | |
| CGC 7 | 83 | 83 | no change |
Every point is a real population reading taken on the date shown — first reading 2026-08-27, latest 2026-09-20 (24 days). That is the whole window we hold for this card; it is not a one-year trend and we will not present it as one. A population can only grow — a card cannot be un-graded — so where a reading came back lower than the one before it, that is a partial crawl and the series carries the higher figure forward rather than drawing a fall that never happened.
Why this matters: scarcity is a flow, not a constant. A tier whose count is climbing is getting less scarce while its price chart says nothing at all — and a tier that has not moved in weeks is holding its scarcity. Nobody else publishes this per grade.
What grading this card would actually cost you
Every term in the sum, sourced — the slab’s real sale price, the marketplace’s published fee, the grader’s published rate.
Every graded row is that same sale, minus the same marketplace fee, minus the grader’s published fee, minus $12 of shipping both ways. The “vs raw” column is the only number that matters: what that outcome would leave you with over selling the card as it is now.
PSA · cheapest published service tier whose declared-value cap covers each outcome
| If it grades | Sells for | eBay fee | Grading | You net | vs raw | Of existing slabs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 · 8 sales | $10,000 | −$1,325 | −$599PSA Walk-Through · 6d | $8,064 | +$7,995 | 2.2% |
| PSA 9 · 45 sales | $400 | −$53 | −$80PSA Regular · 35d | $255 | +$186 | 24% |
| PSA 8 · 87 sales | $198 | −$27 | −$80PSA Regular · 35d | $79 | +$10 | 29% |
“Of existing slabs” is how PSA’s 2,281 graded copies of this card actually landed. It is the base rate for the population, not the odds for your copy — the copies people submit are not a random sample, and we have never seen the card in your hand.
CGC · cheapest published service tier whose declared-value cap covers each outcome
| If it grades | Sells for | eBay fee | Grading | You net | vs raw | Of existing slabs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CGC 10 · 2 sales | $999 | −$133 | −$35CGC Standard · 25d | $820 | +$751 | 3.2% |
| CGC 9 · 12 sales | $250 | −$34 | −$35CGC Standard · 25d | $169 | +$101 | 18% |
“Of existing slabs” is how CGC’s 468 graded copies of this card actually landed. It is the base rate for the population, not the odds for your copy — the copies people submit are not a random sample, and we have never seen the card in your hand.
What this cannot tell you. Which grade your copy would get. That depends on centring, edges, surface and corners on the card in your hand, and we have never seen it — so there is no single headline number here and no “worth it / not worth it” verdict. Each row is one outcome, priced from that tier’s own real sales; a tier we publish no price for stays blank rather than borrowing a figure from the grade next to it. Turnaround is the grader’s published business-day estimate, and the market can move inside it. Descriptive market arithmetic, not investment advice.
Should you grade it?
Expected grade × daily market prices − grading fees = net value, per grader.
See the full grader ladder — chance of a 10, what a 10 and a 9 actually fetch, and the fee, expected value and ROI on every route.
Should you grade it? Every grader route, your cost basis, and Japan vs the West → · or scan a photo of your copy
Who is looking at this card
Demand and supply signals that move before price does.
This is where the attention layer goes: how much YouTube activity this card is getting (demand) against how many copies are listed for sale right now (supply). Rising demand into falling supply is the setup that moves before the price does — the leading indicator this category does not have.
We hold no readings for this card, so there is no number here. The model is built (src/attention); the collector has not run against this database yet, and until it has, an attention score would be something we made up. A blank panel that says so is the honest version of this section.
Long-term outlook
Transparent scenario model from real solds, supply and demand — bands widen with time.
See where this card is projected to be in 10 years — scenario bands, every horizon, and the long-term verdict.
Scenario projection based on demand/supply trends and known catalysts. Not investment advice and not a guarantee of future prices.
What Charizard actually does
The printed card — its attacks, what they cost, what it is weak to, and whether it is still tournament legal.
Each of Charizard's attacks does 10 more damage for each Fire Pokémon on your Bench to your opponent's Active Pokémon (before applying Weakness and Resistance).
Discard a Fire Energy attached to Charizard.
Card text, attacks and format legality come from the open card catalogues pokemontcg.io and TCGdex. They describe the card as printed; nothing here is a price, an estimate or anything Hoshino computed. A field we hold no record for is left out rather than filled in.
Frequently asked questions
Answered from the data on this page — nothing here is written by hand.
How much is Charizard (Arceus #1) worth?
Charizard (Arceus #1) is worth $79.56 based on daily market prices (13 distinct sales) on Hoshino. Typical range: $50.02–$105 (raw/ungraded).
Where can I buy or sell Charizard (Arceus #1)?
You can find Charizard (Arceus #1) on Hoshino, with live listings on eBay CA, eBay (US), eBay AU, eBay UK and recent solds from PokéPriceTracker, Tradera. Each listing links directly to the seller’s page.
What is the graded value of Charizard (Arceus #1)?
Graded values for Charizard (Arceus #1): CGC 7 — $79; CGC 8 — $97.50; CGC 9 — $250; CGC 10 — $999; PSA 6 — $82; PSA 7 — $104; PSA 8 — $198; PSA 9 — $400; PSA 10 — $10,000. Each tier is priced on its own sales — Hoshino never mixes a PSA 10 with a raw copy.
Is Charizard (Arceus #1) going up or down in price?
Charizard (Arceus #1) is trending up in price. 30-day change: +61%. 1-year change: +183%. Based on live market data tracked on Hoshino.
How many Charizard (Arceus #1) have been graded?
Across PSA and CGC and BGS and SGC, 2,884 copies of Charizard (Arceus #1) have been professionally graded, based on population reports tracked on Hoshino.
What is the PSA 10 population of Charizard (Arceus #1)?
PSA has graded 51 copies of Charizard (Arceus #1) as Gem Mint 10, according to population reports tracked on Hoshino.
What does Charizard (Arceus #1) do?
Charizard (Arceus #1) is a 140 HP Fire-type card (Stage2). Its attacks are Fire Wing (30 damage), Burning Tail (80 damage). It is weak to Water (+30). Illustrated by Kagemaru Himeno.
📛 Get the price badge
Embeddable price badges for Charizard — pick the look, copy, paste. Live global data no US-only rival can show.
Drop any of these into a listing, blog or forum signature. Each shows the live number with its honest basis — real market price with sale-count provenance, or a clearly labelled guide estimate — and updates as new sales land (cached 1 hour). Add ?theme=light for light backgrounds.
Track Charizard in your portfolio — free
Live value across every market we track, grade-EV on your exact copy, and alerts the second the price moves.