CharizardかがやくリザードンVSTAR Universe · #015/172 · 2022 · 🇯🇵 Japanese
The Hoshino Verdict
What this card’s market is actually doing — scored, stated and kept current.
Hoshino recorded 20 confirmed sales of this card in the last 12 months across 3 venues in Japan and North America. The market price is up 107% over the year, up 4% over 90 days and down 2% over 30 days. The most recent sale we hold is from today.
Verdict recomputed 10m ago · it changes as the market does.
Charizard is card 15 of 172 in VSTAR Universe, released in 2022 as part of the 剣と盾 series. This is the Japanese printing (かがやくリザードン).
We hold 20 confirmed sales on record for this card across 4 venues in 2 regions — every price on this page traces back to them.
Descriptive market data, not investment advice. The Hoshino Score measures how deep, liquid, widely-traded, dear and scarce this card’s market is from sales and population records we hold. It is not a forecast, not a recommendation, and not a rating of this card as an investment.
Price by grade
What each grade’s real sales say — median of what actually sold.
Each grade is priced on the median of its own real sales — never averaged across grades, and never across printings. A 1st Edition, Shadowless or No Rarity copy is a different market from the ordinary print, so it gets its own row; where a grade holds sales of more than one printing and we cannot tell which copy sold, it is shown without a price — we abstain rather than publish the blend.
| Tier | Price | Confidence | Liquidity | Basis | Obs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw (ungraded) | $5.12 | Moderate3 of 5 confidence checks passed | 10 in 90d recorded | 11 sales · last 2d ago | 11 |
| PSA 9 | $20.30 | Thin3 of 5 confidence checks passed | none in 90d | 2 sales · last 8mo ago | 2 |
| PSA 10 | $46.16 | High4 of 5 confidence checks passed | 6 in 90d recorded | 7 sales · last today | 7 |
How confident are we in each of these prices?
There is no weighting and no hidden formula here. We ask five plain questions about the sales behind a price, and the rating is simply how many of them we can answer yes to. Every threshold is the one our pricing engine already uses to decide whether it trusts its own answer — none was invented for this rating. A grade we publish no price for gets no rating either: there would be nothing to rate.
- ✓Enough sales to have a middle — 10 confirmed sales at this exact grade (the observation count beside this rung also includes 1 row reconstructed from a listing’s own lifecycle rather than a confirmed sale — those never count toward this check)
- ✗Those sales agree with each other — The middle half of them spread 93% around the median — wide enough that the median is close to a coin toss
- ✓The market traded it recently — Most recent sale 10 days ago
- ✓More than one marketplace — Sales came from 3 different marketplaces
- ✗Dated by the venue, not by us — 5 of 10 came from venues that publish no sale date, so those dates are the day we recorded the sale — an upper bound on when it actually traded
- ✗Enough sales to have a middle — 2 confirmed sales at this exact grade — under the 5 our pricing engine treats as a settled sample
- ✓Those sales agree with each other — The middle half of them spread 1% around the median
- ✗The market traded it recently — Most recent sale 225 days ago — past the 45-day half-life at which our engine already halves a sale’s weight
- ✓More than one marketplace — Sales came from 2 different marketplaces
- ✓Dated by the venue, not by us — Every sale carries a date its venue published
- ✓Enough sales to have a middle — 7 confirmed sales at this exact grade
- ✓Those sales agree with each other — The middle half of them spread 9% around the median
- ✓The market traded it recently — Most recent sale today
- ✓More than one marketplace — Sales came from 3 different marketplaces
- ✗Dated by the venue, not by us — 2 of 7 came from venues that publish no sale date, so those dates are the day we recorded the sale — an upper bound on when it actually traded
Cross-market comparisons and arbitrage routes are computed within one grade — PSA 10 against PSA 10, raw against raw. A route is never built from two different grades.
Price trend
Median market price over time, plus the sale-by-sale receipts.
Each point is a real recorded sale at that grade, over the full time we hold. Grades trade at very different prices, so the trend is per grade — pick a grade above.
Daily snapshot medians · US market · raw bucket. — the broader raw market-price trend across the same period, alongside the graded sales above.
Recent sales
| Sold | Venue | Region | Grade | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 10h ago | 🇯🇵 Yahoo! Japan Auctions | Japan | PSA 10 | ¥7,250 · $46.16 | view ↗ |
| 2026-09-16 4d ago | 🇯🇵 Yahoo! Japan Auctions | Japan | PSA 10 | ¥7,200 · $46.43 | view ↗ |
| 2026-09-13 7d ago recorded | 🇯🇵 Mercari Japan | Japan | PSA 10 | ¥6,700 · $43.57 | view ↗ |
| 2026-09-10 9d ago | 🇯🇵 Yahoo! Japan Auctions | Japan | PSA 10 | ¥6,900 · $44.88 | view ↗ |
The 4 most recent — confirmed sales first, then estimates; distinct price points, identical re-ingested rows count once, never stacked. The full 20-point sale-by-sale history unlocks with Pro. Venue is the marketplace the sale actually cleared on — eBay, Goldin, ALT, Fanatics, SNKRDUNK and the rest — established from the sale’s own listing URL, its auction house, or the feed’s own declaration of the venue. A via tag names the data feed that delivered the record; the feed is never the venue. Where none of those establish a marketplace the row says venue not disclosed rather than naming one we cannot prove. Rows tagged guide are marketplace price-guide points (TCGplayer market / Cardmarket trend), not confirmed sales; rows tagged est. are inferred from a listing that left the market, not directly-recorded sales. Rows tagged recorded come from a venue that publishes no sale date — Mercari Japan publishes none — so the date shown is the day we recorded the sale, an upper bound on when it sold. The price is real either way; we do not invent a date.
We hold 2 sales of this card that are not allowed to price anything. Every figure on this page was computed with them removed. See what we set aside for this card, and why →
See the 30-day, 90-day and 1-year charts and every past sale on record — date, venue, region, grade and the price it actually fetched.
Buy from around the world
The lowest live ask on every platform we track — cheapest first.
The cheapest live ask in every region we track — real global pricing, not just the US.
See every listing we track and the net spread — cheapest ask first, the difference after ~13% marketplace + payment fees.
Asks are what sellers want; the price above is what the market actually clears at. Pro shows both sides plus the spread net of fees.
Sold around the world
Daily market prices by region and platform — what this card actually changes hands for worldwide, kept apart from seller asks.
| Platform | Sales | Median | Low – High | Last sold |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🇯🇵 Mercari Japan | 5 | $4.22 | $2.56 – $5.12 | ¥666 · $4.26 15d ago recorded |
| 🇺🇸 eBay (US) | 3 | $10 | $9.99 – $11.69 | $9.99 10d ago |
| 🇦🇺 eBay AU | 2 | $6.14 | $6.14 – $7.98 | A$11.05 · $7.98 11d ago |
Daily market prices across 3 platforms in Japan, North America, Other — counts are distinct sales, never duplicated listings. Guide rows (TCGplayer market / Cardmarket trend) are labelled as estimates, not sales. A recorded tag means that venue publishes no sale date, so its date is the day we saw the listing sold.
What grading this card would actually cost you
Every term in the sum, sourced — the slab’s real sale price, the marketplace’s published fee, the grader’s published rate.
Every graded row is that same sale, minus the same marketplace fee, minus the grader’s published fee, minus $12 of shipping both ways. The “vs raw” column is the only number that matters: what that outcome would leave you with over selling the card as it is now.
PSA · cheapest published service tier whose declared-value cap covers each outcome
| If it grades | Sells for | eBay fee | Grading | You net | vs raw | Of existing slabs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 · 7 sales | $46 | −$6.52 | −$80PSA Regular · 35d | −$52 | −$56 | — |
| PSA 9 · 2 sales | $20 | −$3.09 | −$80PSA Regular · 35d | −$75 | −$79 | — |
The “of existing slabs” column is blank for PSA on this card. Its population reading is contradicted by our own sale record (see the population section), and a share worked out from a count we have called incomplete would be a fabricated probability.
What this cannot tell you. Which grade your copy would get. That depends on centring, edges, surface and corners on the card in your hand, and we have never seen it — so there is no single headline number here and no “worth it / not worth it” verdict. Each row is one outcome, priced from that tier’s own real sales; a tier we publish no price for stays blank rather than borrowing a figure from the grade next to it. Turnaround is the grader’s published business-day estimate, and the market can move inside it. Descriptive market arithmetic, not investment advice.
Should you grade it?
Expected grade × daily market prices − grading fees = net value, per grader.
See the full grader ladder — chance of a 10, what a 10 and a 9 actually fetch, and the fee, expected value and ROI on every route.
Should you grade it? Every grader route, your cost basis, and Japan vs the West → · or scan a photo of your copy
Who is looking at this card
Demand and supply signals that move before price does.
This is where the attention layer goes: how much YouTube activity this card is getting (demand) against how many copies are listed for sale right now (supply). Rising demand into falling supply is the setup that moves before the price does — the leading indicator this category does not have.
We hold no readings for this card, so there is no number here. The model is built (src/attention); the collector has not run against this database yet, and until it has, an attention score would be something we made up. A blank panel that says so is the honest version of this section.
Long-term outlook
Transparent scenario model from real solds, supply and demand — bands widen with time.
See where this card is projected to be in 10 years — scenario bands, every horizon, and the long-term verdict.
Scenario projection based on demand/supply trends and known catalysts. Not investment advice and not a guarantee of future prices.
More from VSTAR Universe
Same set, same shelf.
Frequently asked questions
Answered from the data on this page — nothing here is written by hand.
How much is Charizard (VSTAR Universe #015) worth?
Charizard (VSTAR Universe #015) is worth $5.20 based on daily market prices (11 distinct sales) on Hoshino. Typical range: $2.59–$11.62 (raw/ungraded).
Where can I buy or sell Charizard (VSTAR Universe #015)?
You can find Charizard (VSTAR Universe #015) on Hoshino, with live listings on eBay (US), eBay UK, eBay AU and recent solds from Mercari Japan, eBay (US), eBay AU. Each listing links directly to the seller’s page.
What is the graded value of Charizard (VSTAR Universe #015)?
Graded values for Charizard (VSTAR Universe #015): PSA 9 — $20.30; PSA 10 — $46.16. Each tier is priced on its own sales — Hoshino never mixes a PSA 10 with a raw copy.
Is Charizard (VSTAR Universe #015) going up or down in price?
Charizard (VSTAR Universe #015) is trending down in price. 30-day change: -2%. 1-year change: +107%. Based on live market data tracked on Hoshino.
📛 Get the price badge
Embeddable price badges for かがやくリザードン — pick the look, copy, paste. Live global data no US-only rival can show.
Drop any of these into a listing, blog or forum signature. Each shows the live number with its honest basis — real market price with sale-count provenance, or a clearly labelled guide estimate — and updates as new sales land (cached 1 hour). Add ?theme=light for light backgrounds.
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Live value across every market we track, grade-EV on your exact copy, and alerts the second the price moves.